Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.178990 0.204735 0.233559 0.268346 0.309359 0.356373 0.414633
2025-11-16 0.136035 0.169169 0.210116 0.264979 0.337390 0.430847 0.562491
2025-11-23 0.111129 0.146430 0.193185 0.260731 0.357649 0.494571 0.707943
2025-11-30 0.097813 0.135025 0.187163 0.267339 0.390814 0.579468 0.901155
2025-12-07 0.085110 0.121899 0.175811 0.263026 0.405425 0.637842 1.066183
2025-12-14 0.076611 0.113377 0.169463 0.264464 0.428156 0.712381 1.276710
2025-12-21 0.069407 0.105697 0.163053 0.264268 0.447364 0.783885 1.500399
2025-12-28 0.064672 0.101210 0.160946 0.270635 0.478782 0.883671 1.809300
2026-01-04 0.060186 0.096520 0.157767 0.274379 0.505646 0.980065 2.140922
2026-01-11 0.056322 0.092390 0.154943 0.278167 0.533022 1.083330 2.522928
2026-01-18 0.053438 0.089605 0.154096 0.285466 0.568771 1.213019 3.018383
2026-01-25 0.050078 0.085596 0.150488 0.286659 0.591504 1.318048 3.487586
2026-02-01 0.046800 0.081476 0.146330 0.286396 0.611672 1.423880 4.010080
2026-02-08 0.043639 0.077275 0.141572 0.284238 0.627252 1.522877 4.559139
2026-02-15 0.040584 0.072983 0.136155 0.279836 0.636563 1.607748 5.102563
2026-02-22 0.038982 0.071351 0.135918 0.287047 0.676616 1.790999 6.100162
2026-03-01 0.036433 0.067602 0.130884 0.282364 0.684572 1.881459 6.788345
2026-03-08 0.034662 0.065266 0.128598 0.283928 0.709942 2.034303 7.833294
2026-03-15 0.032899 0.062792 0.125752 0.283714 0.730353 2.177771 8.932920
2026-03-22 0.031822 0.061654 0.125732 0.290635 0.773223 2.413239 10.657514
2026-03-29 0.030612 0.060126 0.124670 0.294705 0.808487 2.634372 12.491797
2026-04-05 0.029489 0.058691 0.123675 0.298824 0.844991 2.874396 14.654484
2026-04-12 0.028680 0.057876 0.124049 0.306764 0.896002 3.193458 17.640660